Declining fertility and increasing investment in children: The quantity & quality trade-off in Japan & selected Asian countries

By drawing heavily upon a new methodological approach called the National Transfer Accounts (NTA), Professor Ogawa will discuss Japan’s changing pattern of intergenerational transfers, both public and private, over the period 1984-2009. Also, within the NTA framework, he will shed light on the rising per capita costs of children and the elderly, and discuss the applicability of the ‘crowding out’ effect to contemporary Japan. He will then compare these Japanese results with findings for other Asian countries, mostly those in East Asia.

Naohiro Ogawa is Professor of Population Economics at Nihon University and Director of the Nihon University Population Research Institute. His research has focused on socioeconomic impacts of low fertility and rapid aging, modeling demographic and social security-related variables, and policies related to fertility, employment, retirement, etc. His recent work includes measuring intergenerational transfers.

In collaboration with other scholars he has edited journals and books among which the most recent one is Low Fertility and Reproductive Health in East Asia. He has served on a number of committees and advisory boards set up by the Japanese government and international organisations.

Presented by:
Australian Demographic & Social Research Institute, ANU College of Arts & Social Sciences
ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR)