John Taylor
Indigenous population projections to 2031: A test of policy impacts
Wednesday, 16 September 2009
Policy development in Indigenous Affairs often proceeds with dated estimates of population and with little understanding of the likely impact of changing demographic parameters on future Indigenous population size and composition. To the extent that policy itself can influence demographic outcomes, this represents a significant deficiency in current planning methodology. To stimulate a dialogue around such issues, this paper models the national and regional population impacts of a continuation of existing mortality and fertility regimes compared to a situation where these converge.
Regional change in the Indigenous population: Early results from the 2006 Census
Wednesday, 19 March 2008
The new Federal Government has identified as one of its priorities a 'closing of the gaps' in social and economic outcomes between Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians with specific reference made to health/life expectancy, education participation and attainment, housing and employment. Previous CAEPR research has shown that the structural circumstances facing Indigenous populations are increasingly diverse and locationally dispersed and that this leads to variable constraints and opportunities for social and economic participation.
Census or sample? Assessing the utility of Indigenous population change data, 2001 to 2006
Wednesday, 5 March 2008
Population counts represent the key output from each national census as they establish the base from which population estimates are subsequently derived and the levels at which population characteristics are established. Such information is vital in assessing change over time in social indicators and plays a key role in the assessment of policy impacts. A notable feature of successive Indigenous census counts has been their volatility and unpredictability with numbers invariably greater each time than change due to natural increase alone would suggest.
The Opportunity Costs of the Status Quo in the Thamarrurr Region
Topical Issue 2 / 2005
March 2005 - The Opportunity Costs of the Status Quo in the Thamarrurr Region
This important report was jointly commissioned by the partners to the Wadeye COAG-ICCP trial involving the Northern Territory Government, the Australian Government Department of Family and Community Services, and the Thamarrurr Regional Council.
Population Mobility and Indigenous Peoples in Australasia and North America
Topical Issue 5 / 2004
March 2004 - Population Mobility and Indigenous Peoples in Australasia and North America
An important new book just published by Routledge, edited by John Taylor (Senior Fellow, CAEPR) and Martin Bell (University of Queensland), with contributions covering Canada, the United States, New Zealand, and Australia.
This collection draws together relevant research findings to produce the first comprehensive overview of Indigenous peoples' mobility. Chapters draw from a range of disciplinary sources, and from a diversity of regions and nation states.
Banking and Financial Services in Rural, Regional and Remote Australia
Topical Issue 3 / 2002
September 2003 - Banking and Financial Services in Rural, Regional and Remote Australia
A submission by Jon Altman and John Taylor to the Parliamentary Joint Committee on Corporations and Financial Services Inquiry into the Level of Banking and Financial Services in Rural, Regional and Remote Areas of Australia.
Change in the relative occupational status of Indigenous workers, 1986-91
Issue Brief 14 / 1997
Employment strategies aimed at raising the economic status of Indigenous people are also implicitly committed to raising occupational status. This is because of the link between poor economic outcomes for Indigenous people and their over-concentration in unskilled jobs.
Short-term Indigenous population mobility and service delivery
Issue Brief 13 / 1997
One characteristic of the Indigenous population which makes it difficult to plan for the delivery of services such as health, housing, employment and education, is the fact that Indigenous people move a great deal. Frequent changes in location cause variation in the level of demand for services at different times in different places. To add to the difficulty, little is known about the details of this population movement as the census is not designed to measure it. Consequently, while the existence of short-term mobility is well-known from community-based case studies, few data exist.
Jobless rate set to rise for Indigenous people
Issue Brief 11 / 1996
The recent Budget cuts in the Indigenous affairs portfolio are likely to lead to a substantial rise in the unemployment rate among Indigenous people before the year 2000. The major factors underscoring poor labour force outcomes are:
Indigenous participation in the labour market and in training programs
Boost to Labour Market Programs for Indigenous people
Issue Brief 1 / 1996
The Aboriginal Employment Development Policy launched in 1987 greatly boosted expenditure on labour market programs for Indigenous people wanting work. According to the Department of Employment, Education, Training and Youth Affairs (DEETYA), each year:
- around 22,000 Indigenous people are placed in mainstream programs
- about 10,000 are placed in programs specifically for Indigenous people.
Between 1990 and 1995:
